{"id":4836,"date":"2012-07-19T18:21:40","date_gmt":"2012-07-19T18:21:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/harissa.com\/news-wp\/?p=4836"},"modified":"2012-07-19T18:21:40","modified_gmt":"2012-07-19T18:21:40","slug":"un-et-demi-apres-le-printemps-arabe-ou-va-leconomie-tunisienne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harissa.com\/news-wp\/un-et-demi-apres-le-printemps-arabe-ou-va-leconomie-tunisienne\/","title":{"rendered":"Un an et demi apr\u00e8s le printemps arabe, o\u00f9 va l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\t&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n\tUn an et demi apr&egrave;s le printemps arabe, o&ugrave; va l&rsquo;&eacute;conomie tunisienne?<\/p>\n<div class=\"mn-line\">\n<div class=\"mna-image\">\n<aside><\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mna-image\">\n\t\t&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div class=\"mna-right\">\n<div class=\"mna-body\">\n<h4>\n\t\t\t\tECONOMIE &ndash; Les nuages noirs s&#39;amoncellent&#8230;<\/h4>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\tLa R&eacute;volution de Jasmin a port&eacute; un coup d&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t &agrave; l&rsquo;activit&eacute; &eacute;conomique tunisienne et 18 mois plus tard, l&rsquo;horizon ne s&rsquo;&eacute;claircit gu&egrave;re. Alors que la croissance avait atteint 3,6% en 2010, elle s&rsquo;est repli&eacute;e de 1,5% l&rsquo;an dernier. &laquo;Dans un contexte de r&eacute;cession en Europe, principal partenaire commercial de la Tunisie, auquel s&rsquo;ajoute une transition politique qui demande forc&eacute;ment du temps, l&rsquo;ann&eacute;e 2012 sera difficile en termes de croissance, de finances publiques et par cons&eacute;quent d&rsquo;acc&egrave;s au financement&raquo;, <a href=\"http:\/\/cib.natixis.com\/flushdoc.aspx?id=64986\" rel=\"nofollow\">notent K&eacute;vin Bouvaud-Victoire et J&eacute;sus Castillo, &eacute;conomistes chez Natixis<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t<b>L&rsquo;Europe tousse, la <a class=\"mn-topic-link\" href=\"http:\/\/www.20minutes.fr\/thematique\/tunisie\">Tunisie<\/a> trinque<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\tEn effet, 75% des produits export&eacute;s par la Tunisie sont achet&eacute;s par l&rsquo;Union europ&eacute;enne. Sur les quatre premiers mois de l&rsquo;ann&eacute;e 2012, les principales industries manufacturi&egrave;res accusent un net ralentissement &laquo;et ce, alors que les taux de croissance auraient d&ucirc; acc&eacute;l&eacute;rer en contrecoup de la r&eacute;volution de 2011&raquo;, expliquent les experts de Natixis. Elles ne peuvent pas compter, non plus, sur la consommation des m&eacute;nages qui patine en raison d&rsquo;un taux de ch&ocirc;mage toujours tr&egrave;s &eacute;lev&eacute; (18,1% en f&eacute;vrier 2012) et d&rsquo;un ralentissement de l&rsquo;offre de cr&eacute;dit.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\tUn contexte difficile qui a incit&eacute; le pr&eacute;sident tunisien <a href=\"http:\/\/www.20minutes.fr\/politique\/973347-tunisie-marzouki-defend-alliance-ennahda-devant-deputes-francais\">Moncef Marzouki<\/a>, en visite en France jusqu&rsquo;&agrave; ce soir, et le Premier ministre, <a class=\"mn-topic-link\" href=\"http:\/\/www.20minutes.fr\/thematique\/jean-marc_ayrault\">Jean-Marc Ayrault<\/a> de lancer un groupe d&#39;impulsion &eacute;conomique. Objectif: aider la transition en cours en renfor&ccedil;ant l&#39;implication des entreprises fran&ccedil;aises. &laquo;L&#39;id&eacute;e est d&#39;aller vite car les autorit&eacute;s tunisiennes veulent montrer &agrave; la population que la r&eacute;volution d&eacute;bouche sur des r&eacute;sultats concrets&raquo;, a fait valoir Matignon. Plus de 1.200 entreprises fran&ccedil;aises sont d&eacute;j&agrave; install&eacute;es dans ce pays, et, selon le minist&egrave;re de l&#39;Economie, les &eacute;changes commerciaux ont en 2011 atteint 7,6 milliards d&rsquo;euros.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\tEn attendant, la demande ext&eacute;rieure f&eacute;brile et le march&eacute; domestique atone ne vont pas inciter les investisseurs &eacute;trangers &agrave; se pr&eacute;cipiter en Tunisie. &laquo;La d&eacute;fiance reste importante quant aux &eacute;volutions futures et au risque d&rsquo;instabilit&eacute; politique per&ccedil;ue encore comme non n&eacute;gligeable. Toutefois, les secteurs li&eacute;s &agrave; l&rsquo;&eacute;nergie et aux mati&egrave;res premi&egrave;res seraient peut-&ecirc;tre ceux qui pourraient conna&icirc;tre une &quot;normalisation&quot; plus rapide en raison de l&rsquo;attractivit&eacute; strat&eacute;gique de ces secteurs&raquo;, avancent K&eacute;vin Bouvaud-Victoire et J&eacute;sus Castillo.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t<b>Tourisme en berne<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\tEn revanche, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.20minutes.fr\/article\/790684\/tunisie-veut-rattraper-maroc\">le tourisme<\/a> risque d&rsquo;&ecirc;tre fortement affect&eacute; par la d&eacute;fiance des investisseurs en raison de la forte baisse du nombre de visiteurs &eacute;trangers dans le pays. En effet, il n&#39;a pas encore retrouv&eacute; sa vigueur d&#39;antan. En 2011, les recettes touristiques ont baiss&eacute; de 33% et les flux d&#39;Europ&eacute;ens ont chut&eacute; de 41%. &laquo;On est pass&eacute;s de 7 millions de visiteurs au total en 2010 &agrave; 4,8 en 2011. Et 3.500 emplois directs ont &eacute;t&eacute; perdus dans le secteur. Pour 2012, on esp&egrave;re parvenir &agrave; 6 millions de visiteurs&raquo;, expliquait r&eacute;cemment Elyes Fakhfakh, le ministre du Tourisme de passage &agrave; Paris. Pour l&rsquo;avenir, l&rsquo;objectif est ambitieux: 10 millions d&#39;entr&eacute;es &agrave; l&#39;horizon de 2016, avec &agrave; la cl&eacute; 8 milliards de dinars (environ 4,1 milliards d&#39;euros) de recettes.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\tMalgr&eacute; tout, certains observateurs sont inquiets, comme l&rsquo;agence de notation Standard &amp; Poor&#39;s qui a r&eacute;cemment d&eacute;grad&eacute; la note de la dette tunisienne. Une mauvaise nouvelle qui risque de rench&eacute;rir les co&ucirc;ts de financement au moment m&ecirc;me o&ugrave; le d&eacute;ficit budg&eacute;taire devrait atteindre les 6% en 2012.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\tMalgr&eacute; tout, le pays peut en th&eacute;orie compter sur les aides internationales promises en mai 2011 lors du sommet de Deauville afin de relancer sa machine &eacute;conomique. Une enveloppe de 40 milliards de dollars avait &eacute;t&eacute; annonc&eacute;e aux pays du printemps arabe. Si une infime partie de cette somme a &eacute;t&eacute; vers&eacute;e, les Etats-Unis ont sign&eacute; le 8 juin un accord pour garantir &agrave; la Tunisie de pouvoir lever 400 millions de dollars &agrave; des taux proches de celui des taux am&eacute;ricains.<\/p>\n<div class=\"mna-signature\" id=\"mna-signature\">\n\t\t\t\tMathieu Bruckm&uuml;ller&nbsp;<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Un an et demi apr&egrave;s le printemps arabe, o&ugrave; va l&rsquo;&eacute;conomie tunisienne? &nbsp; ECONOMIE &ndash; Les nuages noirs s&#39;amoncellent&#8230; La R&eacute;volution de Jasmin a port&eacute; un coup d&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t &agrave; l&rsquo;activit&eacute; &eacute;conomique tunisienne et 18 mois plus tard, l&rsquo;horizon ne s&rsquo;&eacute;claircit gu&egrave;re. Alors que la croissance avait atteint 3,6% en 2010, elle s&rsquo;est repli&eacute;e de&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17176,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[19,10,9,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4836","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-europe","category-france","category-tunisie","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Un an et demi apr\u00e8s le printemps arabe, o\u00f9 va l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne? | HARISSA.COM<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"La R\u00e9volution de Jasmin a port\u00e9 un coup d\u2019arr\u00eat \u00e0 l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique tunisienne et 18 mois plus tard, l\u2019horizon ne s\u2019\u00e9claircit gu\u00e8re. 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