{"id":65091,"date":"2021-04-25T16:45:54","date_gmt":"2021-04-25T16:45:54","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2021-04-25T16:45:54","modified_gmt":"2021-04-25T16:45:54","slug":"laccord-sur-le-nucleaire-iranien-5-1-1-par-david-bensoussan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harissa.com\/news-wp\/laccord-sur-le-nucleaire-iranien-5-1-1-par-david-bensoussan\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019accord sur le nucl\u00e9aire iranien : 5+1-1\u2026, par David Bensoussan"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"article-header\">\n<p class=\"headline\">L\u2019accord sur le nucl\u00e9aire iranien : 5+1-1\u2026<\/p>\n<\/header>\n<aside class=\"block cols1\">\n<div class=\"block cols4\">\n<div class=\"article-content\">\n<p>En essence, l\u2019accord des 5 +1 sur le nucl\u00e9aire iranien permettait \u00e0 l\u2019Iran de d\u00e9velopper librement la technologie nucl\u00e9aire dans les 10 ans, soit en 2025. La nouvelle administration am\u00e9ricaine a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 vouloir r\u00e9int\u00e9grer cet accord dont le pr\u00e9sident Trump s\u2019\u00e9tait retir\u00e9 en 2018. Depuis cette date, les sanctions am\u00e9ricaines contre l\u2019Iran ont caus\u00e9 de plus grands dommages \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie iranienne et le radicalisme iranien n\u2019a pas diminu\u00e9 pour autant.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Du gourdin \u00e0 la carotte douce<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 la politique du gourdin de Trump a succ\u00e9d\u00e9 celle de la carotte douce de Biden. L\u2019un des premiers gestes du nouveau pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain a \u00e9t\u00e9 de rayer les Houtis du Y\u00e9men \u2013 qui sont soutenus par l\u2019Iran \u2013 de la liste des entit\u00e9s terroristes. Le lendemain m\u00eame, les attaques de drones et de missiles houtis contre l\u2019Arabie ont repris de plus belle, visant les a\u00e9roports, les installations p\u00e9troli\u00e8res et les villes.<\/p>\n<p>Celles des milices chiites qui ciblent des objectifs am\u00e9ricains en Irak ont substantiellement augment\u00e9. L\u2019Iran a install\u00e9 de nouvelles centrifuges qui enrichissent l\u2019uranium 50 fois plus vite que les anciennes. Tout se passe comme si l\u2019Iran se sentait libre de continuer sa politique de d\u00e9stabilisation \u00e0 outrance et de d\u00e9velopper ses capacit\u00e9s nucl\u00e9aires.<\/p>\n<p>Il semble que l\u2019administration am\u00e9ricaine n\u2019a rien compris. Le pr\u00e9sident Obama a ent\u00e9rin\u00e9 l\u2019accord des 5+1 alors m\u00eame que les masses scandaient \u00ab Mort \u00e0 l\u2019Am\u00e9rique ! \u00bb Il a d\u00e9fendu l\u2019accord en citant une fatwa voulant qu\u2019il \u00e9tait interdit aux musulmans de construire une bombe atomique, fatwa que personne n\u2019a jamais vue. L\u2019optimisme aveugle qu\u2019il a affich\u00e9 en regard du r\u00e9gime des Mullahs a mis en danger la r\u00e9gion et le monde ; ce fut un remake de l\u2019Accord d\u2019apaisement fi\u00e8rement ratifi\u00e9 \u00e0 Munich de 1938 par Chamberlain, accord qui fut suivi l\u2019ann\u00e9e suivante par l\u2019annexion de la Tch\u00e9coslovaquie et l\u2019attaque de la Pologne, d\u00e9clenchant la Seconde Guerre mondiale.<\/p>\n<p>Les puissances europ\u00e9ennes ont soutenu l\u2019accord du fait que le march\u00e9 iranien \u00e9tait de nouveau accessible, bien que de tr\u00e8s grandes r\u00e9serves aient \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9mises par la France notamment. Le fait que les 5+1 ont ent\u00e9rin\u00e9 un accord en ignorant les appels g\u00e9nocidaires de l\u2019Iran contre Isra\u00ebl n\u2019est pas \u00e0 leur honneur. Depuis 2016, l\u2019Iran a viol\u00e9 l\u2019esprit de l\u2019accord des 5 +1 en testant des missiles balistiques 30 fois.<\/p>\n<p>Toujours est-il que l\u2019accord des 5 +1 a \u00e9galement permis \u00e0 l\u2019Iran d\u2019augmenter son influence dans la r\u00e9gion, de soutenir la dictature assassine du pr\u00e9sident syrien Assad, de catastropher le Liban et le Y\u00e9men et de r\u00e9primer cruellement la population iranienne jugul\u00e9e par le fanatisme des Gardiens de la R\u00e9volution iraniens qui forment un \u00c9tat dans l\u2019\u00c9tat.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ouverture am\u00e9ricaine et rebuffade iranienne<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Le pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain a remis en poste ceux qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 impliqu\u00e9s de pr\u00e8s \u00e0 la n\u00e9gociation l\u2019accord des 5 +1 de 2015, dont William Burns, Jake Sullivan, Anthony Blinken ainsi que Wendy Sherman connu pour sa grande largesse envers la Cor\u00e9e du Nord ; cette largesse am\u00e9ricaine fut octroy\u00e9e mais demeura sans cons\u00e9quence.<\/p>\n<p>Qui plus est, les alli\u00e9s les plus proches de l\u2019Am\u00e9rique que sont Isra\u00ebl et l\u2019Arabie saoudite qui vivent sous la menace iranienne ont \u00e9t\u00e9 snob\u00e9s, laissant entendre que la priorit\u00e9 am\u00e9ricaine \u00e9tait la r\u00e9int\u00e9gration au trait\u00e9 des 5 +1. L\u2019administration Biden a \u00e9galement limit\u00e9 ses ventes d\u2019armes \u00e0 l\u2019Arabie. Pourtant, l\u2019Iran d\u00e9veloppe un programme de missiles balistiques de longue port\u00e9e (qui peuvent atteindre l\u2019Europe) et agit par l\u2019interm\u00e9diaire de milices chiites dans le Croissant Fertile et celui des Houtis au Y\u00e9men.<\/p>\n<p>Bien des observateurs notent que Biden semble vouloir donner des le\u00e7ons des droits de la personne \u00e0 l\u2019Arabie tout en ignorant compl\u00e8tement ceux de l\u2019Iran. M\u00eame l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne (UE) a gel\u00e9 les actifs et interdit de visa huit responsables de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 iranienne qui ont pris part \u00e0 la r\u00e9pression violente des manifestations populaires de novembre 2019 en Iran. Le gouvernement iranien a r\u00e9agi en suspendant tout dialogue sur les droits de la personne avec l\u2019UE.<\/p>\n<p>Par ailleurs, un journal kowe\u00eftien a publi\u00e9 les 7 conditions de l\u2019Iran pour retourner \u00e0 la table des n\u00e9gociations des 5 +1, soit la lev\u00e9e des sanctions relatives aux d\u00e9veloppements de missiles balistiques, le soutien au Hamas et au Hezbollah, l\u2019interdiction aux pays de la r\u00e9gion de participer aux discussions des 5 +1, ni m\u00eame le refus de la solution des deux \u00e9tats \u00e0 laquelle bien des puissances \u0153uvrent pour mettre fin au conflit isra\u00e9lo-palestinien.<\/p>\n<p>De surcro\u00eet, les officiels iraniens ne veulent pas n\u00e9gocier directement avec les Am\u00e9ricains \u00e0 Vienne ; les repr\u00e9sentants am\u00e9ricains sont dans un h\u00f4tel s\u00e9par\u00e9 et sont contact\u00e9s par l\u2019interm\u00e9diaire des autres puissances. Il faut pr\u00e9ciser que le gouvernement iranien est stimul\u00e9 par la r\u00e9duction de sa d\u00e9pendance de l\u2019Occident gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 un accord d\u2019investissement chinois de 400 milliards sur 25 ans.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Affrontements irano-isra\u00e9liens<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Le lendemain de la journ\u00e9e internationale de la technologie nucl\u00e9aire au cours de laquelle la prouesse technologique iranienne a \u00e9t\u00e9 c\u00e9l\u00e9br\u00e9e, une panne d\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 a endommag\u00e9 les centrifugeuses de Natanz, retardant de plusieurs mois le d\u00e9veloppement d\u2019uranium enrichi.<\/p>\n<p>Pour la premi\u00e8re fois, le Mossad a reconnu ne pas \u00eatre \u00e9tranger \u00e0 cette op\u00e9ration alors qu\u2019il n\u2019\u00e9tait gu\u00e8re d\u2019usage de confirmer ou d\u2019infirmer des op\u00e9rations de ce type. Il est fort probable que cela a \u00e9t\u00e9 fait en vue d\u2019en dissocier les \u00c9tats-Unis. C\u2019est le troisi\u00e8me \u00e9v\u00e9nement qui survient en une semaine&nbsp;apr\u00e8s l\u2019explosion d\u2019un navire-espion iranien en mer Rouge et le bombardement d\u2019entrep\u00f4ts de munitions iranien pr\u00e8s de Damas.<\/p>\n<p>Ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, Isra\u00ebl a attaqu\u00e9 des douzaines de bases de milices parrain\u00e9es par l\u2019Iran en territoire syrien ainsi que des convois d\u2019armes destin\u00e9s au Hezbollah libanais. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, l\u2019Iran a continu\u00e9 de surarmer le Hezbollah libanais et attaqu\u00e9 de nombreux navires marchands isra\u00e9liens dans le Golfe persique. Une guerre cybern\u00e9tique est aussi en cours.<\/p>\n<p>Les confrontations r\u00e9centes affaiblissent la position iranienne dans les n\u00e9gociations du 5+1 mais pourraient rapprocher l\u2019\u00e9ch\u00e9ance d\u2019un conflit g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9 entre Isra\u00ebl et l\u2019Iran. Ils mettent en \u00e9vidence que la ligne rouge effective d\u2019Isra\u00ebl en vue d\u2019emp\u00eacher l\u2019Iran de se munir d\u2019armes atomiques ne se limite pas \u00e0 des v\u0153ux pieux.<\/p>\n<p>Apr\u00e8s la signature des accords des 5 +1, Bibi Netanyahou \u00e9tait intervenu dans une session sp\u00e9ciale du Congr\u00e8s am\u00e9ricain pour lancer l\u2019alerte. Cela n\u2019a gu\u00e8re plu \u00e0 l\u2019entourage d\u2019Obama qui maintenant semble vouloir poursuivre sa politique ant\u00e9rieure.<\/p>\n<p>Isra\u00ebl a lanc\u00e9 un signal tant \u00e0 l\u2019Iran qu\u2019aux grandes puissances.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019accord sur le nucl\u00e9aire iranien : 5+1-1\u2026 En essence, l\u2019accord des 5 +1 sur le nucl\u00e9aire iranien permettait \u00e0 l\u2019Iran de d\u00e9velopper librement la technologie nucl\u00e9aire dans les 10 ans, soit en 2025. La nouvelle administration am\u00e9ricaine a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 vouloir r\u00e9int\u00e9grer cet accord dont le pr\u00e9sident Trump s\u2019\u00e9tait retir\u00e9 en 2018. Depuis cette date, les&hellip;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":65092,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65091","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>L\u2019accord sur le nucl\u00e9aire iranien : 5+1-1\u2026, par David Bensoussan | HARISSA.COM<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"L\u2019accord sur le nucl\u00e9aire iranien : 5+1-1\u2026 En essence, 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