{"id":65193,"date":"2021-05-16T17:04:24","date_gmt":"2021-05-16T17:04:24","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2021-05-16T17:04:24","modified_gmt":"2021-05-16T17:04:24","slug":"israelis-palestinians-and-their-neighbors-worry-is-this-the-big-one-by-thomas-l-friedman","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harissa.com\/news-wp\/israelis-palestinians-and-their-neighbors-worry-is-this-the-big-one-by-thomas-l-friedman\/","title":{"rendered":"Israelis, Palestinians and Their Neighbors Worry: Is This the Big One? By Thomas L. Friedman"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Israelis, Palestinians and Their Neighbors Worry: Is This the Big One?<\/p>\n

Thomas L. Friedman
\nNew York Times
\n <\/p>\n

Let\u2019s see, what happens when TikTok meets Palestinian grievances about right-wing Israeli land grabs in Arab neighborhoods in Jerusalem? And then you add the holiest Muslim night of prayer in Jerusalem into the mix? Then toss in the most emotional Israeli holiday in Jerusalem? And a power play by Hamas to assume leadership of the Palestinian cause? And, finally, a political vacuum in which the Palestinian Authority is incapable of holding new elections and Israel is so divided it can\u2019t stop having elections?<\/p>\n

What happens is the explosion of violence around Jerusalem on Monday that quickly spread to the Gaza front, and has people asking: Is this the big one? Is this the start of the next Palestinian uprising?<\/p>\n

The Israeli government, the surrounding Arab nations and the Palestinian Authority all desperately want the answer to be \u201cno\u201d \u2014 Israel because it would find little support from a left-leaning White House, let alone the rest of the world, for a big crackdown on Palestinians; the Arab governments because most of them want to do business with Israeli tech-makers, not get mired defending Palestinian rock-throwers; and the Palestinian leadership because it would expose just how little it controls the Palestinian street anymore.<\/p>\n

But unlike the Intifadas that began in 1987 and 2000, when Israel had someone to call to try to turn it off, there is no Palestinian on the other end of the phone this time \u2014 or, if there is, he\u2019s a 15- year-old on his smartphone, swiping orders and inspiration from TikTok, the video app often used by young Palestinians to challenge and encourage one another to confront Israelis.<\/p>\n

Jack Khoury, an expert on the Arab dynamics of this conflict, put it well Monday in his analysis in Haaretz, writing that the engine of the Palestinian side of the protest \u201cis the popular movement,\u201d which is made up \u201cmostly of the younger generation, which is not waiting for its political leadership \u2014 not the Palestinian Authority, nor Arab leaders in Israel or in the Gaza Strip. Over the past few days it has been reported that Hamas is trying to stoke the protest, but the Hamas leadership has no control over the events at all \u2026 and so as the Israeli government sees it, there is no one address or person to turn to in order to hold a political discussion on the situation.\u201d<\/p>\n

But what sparked it all? The tinder was a collision of \u201csacred times\u201d and \u201csacred territories,\u201d Hebrew University religious philosopher Moshe Halbertal told me, and then different actors threw matches to start a raging fire.<\/p>\n

Specifically, this year\u2019s Jerusalem Day \u2014 a national holiday commemorating the establishment of Israel\u2019s control over East Jerusalem, the Old City and the Temple Mount in the 1967 Arab Israeli war, thereby unifying East and West Jerusalem \u2014 was celebrated with prayer services at the Western Wall beginning Sunday night.<\/p>\n

This Israeli sacred date roughly coincided with Muslims\u2019 Laylat alQadr, or Night of Power, which fell this year on Saturday. It is considered not only the most sacred night of Ramadan but of the whole Islamic calendar. It commemorates the night when the first verses of the Quran were revealed to the Prophet Muhammad by the Angel Gabriel and is marked by thousands of Muslims gathering at the Aqsa Mosque, near the Western Wall on the Temple Mount.<\/p>\n

These overlapping sacred dates led to inevitable clashes in the alleyways of East Jerusalem and culminated Monday with the Israeli police raiding the Aqsa Mosque, where Palestinians had stockpiled stones. Hundreds of Palestinians were wounded while more than 20 Israeli police officers suffered injuries.<\/p>\n

That situation was exacerbated by a long-simmering fight over what Halbertal called \u201csacred territory.\u201d In brief, right-wing Israeli Jews had gotten a court order to evict six Palestinian families who are living in homes on land that was owned by Jews in East Jerusalem before the city was divided in the 1948 war. Palestinian families are fighting their eviction in court. Indeed, Israel\u2019s Supreme Court was slated to rule Monday on whether the Palestinians could be expelled but delayed the decision because of the violence.<\/p>\n

\nPalestinians argue that it is unfair that Jews can reclaim land or homes they owned in East Jerusalem before 1948 but Palestinians have no legal means to reclaim land they owned in West Jerusalem or anywhere else in Israel before 1948.<\/p>\n

\nClashes over these sacred dates and sacred spaces would be incendiary enough, but they were also fueled, as I said, by scenes on TikTok. In April, some Palestinian youths uploaded a short video of themselves assaulting an Orthodox Jew on public transportation, as a way of inspiring copycat attacks. In response, a far-right Jewish group named Lehava led a march through Jerusalem to the Damascus Gate of the Old City, chanting \u201cArabs, get out.\u201d<\/p>\n

The whole mess makes a Gordian knot look simple to untangle.<\/p>\n

\nBut what is it all telling us?<\/strong><\/p>\n

The most obvious and important point is that a dangerously na\u00efve consensus has emerged in Israel in recent years suggesting that Israel basically has the Palestinian conflict suppressed and those Palestinians living in the West Bank and East Jerusalem are basically resigned to living under permanent Israeli control. This consensus was so powerful that in all four of Israel\u2019s recent elections, the question of peace with the Palestinians \u2014 how to achieve it and what happens if it is ignored \u2014 was not on the agenda.<\/p>\n

The Abraham Accords engineered by the Trump administration, normalizing relations between Israel and the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco \u2014 while valuable in helping to stabilize the region \u2014 also reinforced the notion that the Palestinian cause is basically yesterday\u2019s news. Today\u2019s headlines prove the fallacy of that thinking.<\/p>\n

By the way, the Biden administration has no interest right now in being forced to react to those headlines. It does not believe the conditions are right for any real progress on the Israeli-Palestinian issue, and the last thing it wants \u2014 when its primary focus in the region is trying to revive the nuclear deal with Iran, which is already causing huge tensions with Israel \u2014 is to get distracted by having to mediate a cease-fire between Israelis and Palestinians or blunt Iranian attempts to inflame the situation in Jerusalem.<\/p>\n

But where do we go from here?<\/strong><\/p>\n

In part that depends on Bibi Netanyahu. Of all the crazy coincidences of this moment, maybe the craziest is that it comes in what could be Bibi\u2019s final days as Israel\u2019s prime minister \u2014 after more than 12 years in office. Netanyahu has an interest in seeing his rivals fail to form a new coalition to unseat him. He would like Israel to go to a fifth election \u2014 giving him a chance to hang on and maybe avoid jail if he is convicted in his current corruption trial. One way Bibi could do that is by inflaming the situation so much that his right-wing rivals have to abandon trying to topple him and declare instead that this is no time for a change in leadership.<\/p>\n

Much also depends on what Hamas chooses to do. Hamas has failed to produce either significant economic growth in the Gaza Strip that it rules or political progress with Israel. And the fact that the Palestinian Authority just postponed planned elections, which Hamas probably would have dominated, means it is stuck.<\/p>\n

What does Hamas tend to do when it is stuck? Fire rockets at Israel. But on Monday it did something really unusual. It fired rockets at Jerusalem to try to assume leadership of the brewing uprising there. Israel retaliated by bombing Gaza and reportedly killing at least 20 Palestinians.
\nBottom line:  This could all calm down in three or four days as Hamas, Israel, Egypt, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority all find it in their interests to impose their will on the street. Or not. And if it turns into another Intifada, with the street imposing its will on their leaderships, this earthquake will shake Israel, Gaza, the West Bank, Jordan, Egypt and the Abraham Accords.<\/p>\n

If that happens, I suggest you download TikTok to follow it all in real time.<\/p>\n

Thomas Friedman
\nNew York Times<\/p>\n

Thomas Friedman, est un journaliste am\u00e9ricain, auteur et triple laur\u00e9at du prix Pulitzer. Il est actuellement \u00e9ditorialiste au New York Times, dans lequel ses tribunes bihebdomadaires ont pour principal sujet les affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res.
\nIl milite pour une solution de compromis dans le conflit isra\u00e9lo-palestinien, la modernisation du monde arabe.Il<\/span> a \u00e9crit de tr\u00e8s nombreux livres sur des sujets divers.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Israelis, Palestinians and Their Neighbors Worry: Is This the Big One? Thomas L. Friedman New York Times   Let\u2019s see, what happens when TikTok meets Palestinian grievances about right-wing Israeli land grabs in Arab neighborhoods in Jerusalem? And then you add the holiest Muslim night of prayer in Jerusalem into the mix? Then toss in… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":65194,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"yoast_head":"\nIsraelis, Palestinians and Their Neighbors Worry: Is This the Big One? By Thomas L. Friedman | HARISSA.COM<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Israelis, Palestinians and Their Neighbors Worry: Is This the Big One? Thomas L. 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